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Google Instant And SEO

　　From the moment Google Instant was announced back on September 8 there have been forum chats, blog posts, articles and podcasts discussing the ramification of this new technology. Some have called it the “Death of SEO” which others (myself included) have proclaimed this a step forward and an opportunity for SEO's, not a threat. And then of course there's those who don't even know there's been a change at all, let's call them “the vast majority”. In this article we're going to discuss the pros and cons of Google Instant as it pertains to SEO's and to website owners as well as cover some of the reasons that this new technology may not have as large an impact on search behavior as some may fear/predict.

　　But first, let's cover the basic question …

　　What Is Google Instant?

　　Google instant is a technology that allows Google to predict what you are looking for as you type. They are referring to it as 'search-before-you-type” technology (catchy). Essentially – as I type a phrase (let's say “buy shoes online”) as soon as I get to “buy sh” I start seeing results for “buy shoes”. As soon as I've entered “buy shoes “ (with a space after shoes indicating I want more than just the 2 word phrase) I start seeing results for “buy shoes online”.

　　Technologically this is genius. Google is now serving likely billions of additional search results pages per day as each query has multiplied results that apply to it. Well … I suppose we all wondered what the Caffeine infrastructure update was all about didn't we? But what does this do in the real world?

　　Why Google Instant Isn't A Big Deal

　　Alright, obviously it is a significant technological enhancement in search but the way some react you'd think the whole universe was about to be turned on it's head. There are two reasons why that's not the case.

　　I find it unlikely that many will notice right away that the change has occurred and further I find it even less likely that the majority will use the feature. You see – the major hindrance of this enhancement isn't in the technology – it's in the users. Only those who touch type and can do so without looking at their keyboard will be affected. If the user looks at their keyboard while typing then they wouldn't even notice the results coming in ahead of their actual search.

　　This will only affect users who are searching in instances where the shorter or predicted terms match the users end goals. For example, if I am searching for “buy shoes online” and get as far as “buy sh” the top results are sites which clearly suit the needs of a searcher for “buy shoes online” and thus – this may work to the detriment of sites who rank well for “buy shoes online” as they may well lose traffic. In the case of a site targeting, oh – I don't know – “seo consulting” there will likely be little affect if any. The searcher, looking for an SEO consultant, will find once they've entered “seo” that they are presented with Wikipedia and Google – sites that, while informative, don't offer the services (or results) desired and thus – the searcher would be less affected. Once they proceeded on to enter the “seo c” the searcher would be presented with the results for “seo company” but I'm prone to believe that if the searcher wanted those results – they would have searched for it. For this phrase I'm confident we'll see little in the way of negative affect from Google Instant.

　　So we've discussed why Google Instant isn't a big deal, now let's discuss …

　　Google Instant And The Searcher

　　This is sort of a win-win for Google from a searcher perspective. One of two things will happen for the searcher. Either they won't notice the change or won't be affected and thus – Google will be exactly where they are now OR they will notice the change and will select results quicker and find the feature helpful. As I noted – it's a win-win. There isn't much of scenario from a searcher perspective where the searcher will be negatively impacted and if they are – they'd simply revert back to past searching patterns. From the perspective of impact on the user – Google has it made with this feature. Their worst-case scenario is that they're exactly where they are now.

　　Google Instant From Google's Perspective

　　Any feature added to any corporate system must serve a single primary function – it must make it's developer money. We've already seen that the feature itself can't really negatively impact the searcher but can it make Google money? There are two ways that this can happen:

　　Improved loyalty and marketshare, and

　　Increased revenue directly from the initiative

　　Fortunately for Google – they're going to win on both fronts here and when we see the Q3 earnings and moreso in the Q4 earning Google reports we'll begin to see how significant an impact this change will have for them – mainly in the second of the two monetary reward methods noted above. And here's why …

　　We've already covered the improved loyalty this can have on the searchers. Anything that makes my life easier and makes my quest for information faster will make me more loyal. At worst – Google will see my behavior stay the same but for many, the search experience will become faster and more effective – especially once the technology is improved by user behavior to a degree that people trust it more. Overall there will be a net gain in the experience – we've only to wait to see how large that net gain is and how it translates into marketshare. The big win is in the second point.

　　Conclusion

　　There isn't much to conclude that hasn't been discussed above. Virtually every party wins or at worst, breaks even with the introduction of this technology. The only victim appears to be small businesses without the budgets to compete for the more generic phrases but even they may win with a shift away from these phrases by the larger companies. It may well occur that while the search volume shift heads in favor of large companies with larger budget – that the lower hanging fruit, while reduced in it's search volume, may fall too in the competition levels making it more affordable. Larger business may focus like snipers on larger phrases and smaller business may well be presented with the opportunity to go after more, less search phrases that aren't worth targeting for larger companies – at least organically.

　　But only time will tell and of course – we have much data to collect and many algorithmic updates to come between here and there.